Powers, Golf Digest: Chris Kirk (+600, DraftKings) Coming off his first win in eight years, Kirks confidence should be riding high. The Field The Valspar Championship returns to its regular March date in 2022, a year after being played last season in May. Follow him on Twitter: @ThePME. Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) Zalatoris answered the lingering injury questions with a fourth-place finish at Riviera, where he gained 3.9 strokes off the tee, four strokes on approach, 2.4 strokes around the green and 2.4 strokes putting. Scottie Scheffler claimed the first major title of the PGA Tours 2022 season. DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook are two of the most popular apps for online sports betting in states that allow PGA expert picks to sleepers. I simply had to find a way to get the two guys who have been head and shoulders above every player in the world over the past few months on this betting card and this feels like a great way to do so. Bay Hill has been a ball-strikers paradise historically, and theres no better ball-striker to go to war with (besides Willy Z) than Kawa. He hasnt had much major success, but the PGA Championship has been his best, making the cut in eight of nine starts. Those two golf courses are much better for him than Rivera, which will expose the worst parts of his game. 1.3%. WM Phoenix Open DraftKings golf picks 2023: Best PGA DFS lineup. We have a Privacy Policy and Cookie Policy. Michael Murphy is a hero to me in every sense of the word. Each of the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas. This will be Ims eighth start in nine weeks, which is an unsustainable pace, and we already started to see the wheels come off last weekend at the Honda Classic. We try hard to make sure that the site is up to date at all times. Its worth noting that Day has played more rounds than both of those guys. His advanced metrics show a well-rounded golfer who can compete in strong fields. If you want to bet on golfers winning majors or perhaps the FedEx Cup and Race to Dubai outright, this is a great opportunity. It won't be all fun. The weird extended weekend at Pebble Beach has concluded with Justin Rose as the champion not great for our PGA Tour expert picks and read on the tournament but now we move on to golfs party in the desert as we deliver WM Phoenix Open picks and best bets. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) Rorys strokes-gained numbers at Bay Hill are insanehes gained nearly 75 strokes to the field in his eight appearances here. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. Listed at +100 apiece to finish Top 10, Im getting aggressive and parlaying them to both finish Top 10 this week. Golf betting record in 2023 through Sony: 3-5-1, -1.274 units (0-2 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets) One-and-Done record in 2023: $333,387.22 (Cam Davis taken at Sony, $41,387.22) PGA Tour expert. Outside of those events, Cantlay has been stellar. Bay Hill Club & Lodge will be. Safest Option: Matt Fitzpatrick ($7,900 DraftKings | $10,300 FanDuel). The short game wont be an issue, and with the expected blustery conditions, Fleetwood is primed to notch his fourth top 10 at Bay Hill in seven starts. The PGA picks this week present a good opportunity for Lowry to take advantage of his strong golf because there are fewer competitors. He is statistically among the top 15 golfers in terms of strokes gained on, off, and tee-to-green gains (seventeenth-best) due to his high percentage of green-in-regulation hits (69.83 percent). McClure's optimal PGA DFS strategy also includes rostering Max Homa at $9,700 on DraftKings and $11,600 on FanDuel. Aside from winning the Shriners Childrens Open last fall, I have been somewhat quiet since then but havent ceased putting up impressive numbers. When comparing price and skill-set to his peers, hes the odd man out. Jon Rahm, defending champion Scottie Scheffler, Justin Thomas, and many, many more will be ready to take on TPC Scottsdale this week in front of the always-raucous crowd. Pick To Win: Joaquin Niemann ($8,500 DraftKings | $10,200 FanDuel). At first glance, you might not consider Kitayama as a big boy with his 5-foot-7, 170-pound frame. Our PGA Tour expert picks for the wildest event in golf as we break down our WM Phoenix Open picks, best bets and more for the first elevated event. 2023 Puerto Rico Open odds, field. Gehman: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradley putted himself out of Los Angeles, losing nearly four strokes on the greens over just two rounds, resulting in an MC. Looking at the top-four finishers at The Honda Classic, you would've thought this event was being held at the same time as a marquee golf tournament (like the Puerto Rico Open will be going against the Arnold Palmer Invitational this coming week).. However, he hasnt needed that skill recently, gaining a staggering 20.4 strokes on approach over his past three starts. 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. WMPO: Collin Morikawa. 4. Gehman: Sahith Theegala (+100) over Shane Lowry (DraftKings) Theegala is getting more consistent as a professional, making the cut in nine straight events while earning four top-10s in the process. You can bet on the outright winner. Hes historically one of the better short-game players on tour, gaining 0.71 strokes around-the-green and on the green over his past 100 rounds. "Yeah, Kurt, Hes incredibly talented and seems to only be getting better. Sungjae Im is one of the few players in this field who is teeing it up for the fourth week in a row. I expect the Japanese superstar to remind us that he is still a top-20 player in the world and have a great chance to pick up PGA Tour victory No. Young finished runner-up at this event last year but has lost his touch on and around the greens since that week. Niemann has every shot in his repertoire, which will certainly be required around Southern Hills. Now, run-offs will propel missed approaches down embankmentswhich will really test recovery shots. McIlroy hasnt had his best stuff over the past two weeks, while Rahm has won five times in last eight starts. He hosts Inside Golf, a twice weekly podcast focused on the PGA Tour, betting, daily fantasy, golf course architecture, and interviews, as part of the BlueWire podcast network. Previously, rough surrounded most greensso you faced a straightforward pitch around the greens. Only he and Jon Rahm rank top-10 in SG/tee-to-green and SG/putting over the past 50 rounds, according to datagolf. The PGA TOUR has started its 2022-23 golf season, while LIV Golf has just wrapped up its inaugural season, and . Whats the secret of longevity and good golf? On top of that, hes doing it with accurate driving thats a little less than long but high-quality iron play, gaining 0.54 strokes per round on approach over his last 20 rounds. Over his past four seasons, Simpson has never gained less than 1.20 strokes per round for the campaign. The play: NBA, Pelicans money line over Trail Blazers The odds/wafer: +105 ($30 to win $31.50) The book: BetMGM Time/TV: 10:10 p.m. (Bally Sports) Our take: Throughout the course of our daily best . With only one start at the Wyndham Championship under his belt, the PGA Tours Iron Man has had a light season. CrazyTown, USA. Hes also earned five top-15 finishes in 2022, so hes comfortable with his name in contention. The two time major winner . While he fell victim to a faulty putter in his last start, the 31-year-old has actually gained strokes putting in his past four appearances on Bermuda grass. Gehman: Rory McIlroy Remember, these elevated events have replaced majors as the biggest purses in golf. 1. A tie for ninth place at the Irish Open and a tie for a twenty-first place at St. Andrews are recent finishes. To get you in the mood, you can place bets on things like who will win rookie of the year or who will be declared FedEx Cup champion before the season even starts. The best thing about betting on golf is that there are so many ways to get involved. 0.18. The PGA Championship will be held at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Oklahoma. Clark can check off all three of those boxes! Tiger Woods' first appearance in a regular PGA Tour event in nearly 850 days was eventful for a number of reasons. In the last four events hes played in, hes made the cut. Rahm has two top-10's in four tries and tied for 21st last year, when he rebounded from a second-round 73 and shot 65 on Sunday. He's got 18.78 percent of the vote, followed by Will Zalatoris (15.66 percent) and Shane Lowry (15.46 percent). Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) For the first time this year, Zalatoris looks like himself again. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's . Jon Rahm (8/1) Keyur Khamar. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our red-hot experts make a consensus bet, thanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week, Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge: Challenger/Champion, create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National. Golf Digest - Stephen Hennessey 5h. Hes been elite off the tee, gaining 17.49 strokes over his past six measured starts. Atop the FedEx Cup rankings, he has a knack for diving deep, which will come in handy as he is one of our PGA picks. I think this is a spot where we can fade Rahm, on a course that favors the drawers of the ball. Golf Digest - Does Kurt Kitayama even lift, bro? Hes separating himself from his peers on approach and with the putter, two skills that will be rewarded again this week. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Hes trending toward another victory. His approach play since the U.S. Open has been pedestrian, but hes gained over seven strokes in his past seven roundsthe rate we would expect from Thomas. Wyndham Clark ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,500 FanDuel). 9 this week. Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week: Rory McIlroy (10-1, BetMGM) Im not sure how we ended up here after his insane 2022, but at the end of February Rorys already the forgotten man. Tournament futures are the most popular since even the best players have favorable golf betting odds for punters. Were getting value based on Rorys slow start on the West Coast, which was mainly short-game induced. If I was designing a golf course specifically for Cameron Youngs skill-set, it would look a whole lot like Bay Hill, as the 26-year-old remains one of the most dominant drivers of the ball in the world and an excellent long iron player. Everything with his game is clicking right now. Ahead of the Arnold Palmer Invitational in Orlando and the concurrent Puerto Rico Open, PGA Tour Commissioner Jay Monahan spelled out in a memo to players released on Wednesday how most tournaments that were just Its a coin flip to me who holds the belt at the end of the season, so Ill gladly take the plus money on the player with far better course history. All rights reserved. Lack: Sungjae Im (33-1, BetMGM) This is a pure situational fade for me. Finau had a stretch of 10 straight events in which he gained strokes putting, but that came to an end with losses in two straight. Despite the fact that Horschel's results so far in 2023 haven't been promising, we think that's a bet well . Here are the stats you should be paying attention to, High Upside: Max Homa ($8,100 DraftKings | $9,800 FanDuel). Houston Open: Aaron Wise. Among the "contenders" (ranked 21-60), Max Homa is the current people's choice. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's . Genesis: Collin Morikawa. At the same time, though, JT hasnt finished outside of the Top 20 at TPC Scottsdale in each of the last five years and has been Top 10 three times and Top 5 twice in that stretch. Hennessey: Keith Mitchell This is a bolder call, but I can afford to be a little bold after getting a win from Chris Kirk last week. SRP: $379.95 BOA; $329.95 lace HyperFlex Finely tuned Read more. During that stretch, hes also gaining 0.22 strokes per round around the green, the fifth-best rate of anyone $9,000 or more. His best finish is a T-35 at the Masters, and his metrics are so far from what we would expect. Powers: Will Zalatoris Morikawa is my main play, but Im going to have a lot of trouble not adding Zalatoris at the 11th hour on Wednesday evening. Over the past 36 rounds, Rahm is gaining a staggering 3.01 strokes per roundthe most in the field, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Meronk has been padding his resume on the DP World Tour recently, winning the Australian Open, finishing T-10 in Abu Dhabi and earning a T-4, most recently, at the Ras Al Khaimah Championship. Your sportsbooks per-place payout will vary from one book to another, so be careful to compare them before placing an each-way bet.
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