When Does It End? Precipitation: Below Average This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM. Above normal moisture values for early October combined with several atmospheric disturbances moving across the area produced isolated to scattered showers or thunderstorms on a daily basis during the first ten days of the month. Monthly Weather - Phoenix, AZ As of 7:03 am MST Feb View Apr Sun mon tue wed thu fri sat 26 57 37 27 63 42 28 63 48 1 62 37 2 55 41 3 60 39 4 67 44 Fri 03 | Day 60 2% SW 5 mph. In a couple of words: its nice! The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. On social media:Find us on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram and YouTube. hit 113.9 degrees F, 45.5 degrees C. Amazing. NWS Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area which is always the case during the summer thunderstorm season. January climate data across southeast Arizona. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from a tenth of an inch to 1" with localized areas recording between 1" and 1.60". The exception is the summer thunderstorm season where the forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. The metro area for most of the month remained under a favorable monsoon flow pattern that brought daily round of showers and thunderstorms which produced strong gusty winds, heavy rain and flash flooding. We start off the new year here with the January 2022 forecast. Areas south of the storm track (much of the Southeast) will see frequent storms bringing cold rains and a wintry mix . A couple of weak weather systems moved across the area on the 28th through 30th bringing the area another shot of valley rain and mountain snow. READ MORE Monday, March 28, 2022 Flagstaff Weather -- March 28, 2022 We are going to show you their forecast for the upcoming winter, but first, a warning. According to its forecast map, Arizonas fall theme will be cool with decent precipitation.. March climate data across southeast Arizona, Spring climate data across southeast Arizona. Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite winter towns in Arizona to get some ideas. The average yearly temperature, through the end of May, of 64.4 is 0.9 above normal and ranks as the 10th warmest on record, tied with 2000. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a half an inch (0.50") with a localized spots, especially in the foothills, recording up to nine-tenths of an inch (0.90"). Amounts ranged from 3" to 8" with localized higher amounts up to 12". Nine Ways To Tell The Difference. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, was on the dry side as just over one and a third of an inch /1.34"/ was recorded. Over the last 14 days there was only one day that was above normal. The Tucson International airport, the official recording location in Tucson, recorded 4.94" which ranks as the 46th driest monsoon on record. Or rather when will it finally feel like fall? NOTE: The Winter 2022 Tier for MEMBERS and ANYONE INTERESTED is OPEN FOR JANUARY THROUGH END FEBRUARY WITH REDUCED SEASONAL TIER RATES. Some of our favorite winter destinations in Arizona include the adorable little town of Flagstaff, the amazing Mount Lemmon in southern Arizona (the drive up alone is incredible), and mountain towns like Payson and Prescott. This update comes as Arizona sits deep in drought. What are some fun things to do in the winter in Arizona? As is usually the case during the summer thunderstorm season rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 3.00" to 9.00" with localized amounts between 9" and 11" along the lower elevations of the Catalina and Rincon mountains. There were only seven days that recorded triple digit highs, which is eight days below the normal of 15 days for August. Monsoon 2022 ended up warmer than normal with an average season temperature of 87.2 which is nine-tenths of a degree above normal. If you click here, this is exactly what my model showed, which is telling me further that we remain on track to keep getting the long range right. Reach breaking news reporter Sam Burdette at sburdette@gannett.com or on Twitter @SuperSafetySam. By weather.com meteorologists October 13, 2022 At a Glance A generally colder than usual winter is expected in the northern tier of states. The first official astronomical day of winter arrives on Tuesday, Dec. 21. Wildfires send smoke as temperatures near 100 degrees. This is the 2nd most number of days during Summer on record but well behind the record of 33 days set in 2020. Drier-than-average conditions are forecast in portions of California, the Southwest, the southern Rockies, southern Plains, Gulf Coast and much of . Temperature: Below Average, WANT MORE? According to The Farmer's Almanac, Arizona's 2021-2022 winter season will bring along a "polar coaster" with temperature swings lasting well into March of 2022. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded only 0.19". Our weather forecast can give you a great sense of what weather to expect in Arizona in February 2024.. The December 2021 forecast went exactly as thought, word for word in both regions. Please try another search. The periodical says it. According to the Farmers Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year though drier than average, too. Visit the Farmers Almanac website or Facebook page to learn more about the forecast. "We have no strong reason to favor a super-weak vortex like we had in winter 2020-21 at this time, and feel this winter be more like last winter," Crawford said. I think we do a pretty good job, Geiger said. National Weather Service Then it smashed that record. A first look at Winter 2022/2023 forecast shows an obvious influence of the third-year La Nina phase. Calendar overview of Months Weather Forecast. The stream has the latest alert links, a map of alerts and where, and articles. The La Nia weather phenomenon is expected to extend through winter for the third year in a row, bringing below-average rain and snow and above-average temperatures. The Official NOAA Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 has been released and as of right now the odds are slightly tilted towards below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures for the desert. Man shoots, kills victim outside of a Phoenix . To troubleshoot, here is the link to get situated. The average yearly temperature, through the end of September, of 74.7 is 1.1 above normal and ranks as the 6th warmest on record, tied with 2016. The states climate is varied and unique, featuring many different biomes and environments. Please try another search. NWS Tucson Arizona. It begins just at the backend of Arizonas monsoon season, which officially comes to a close on Sept. 30. These drought conditions developed after a drier-than-normal 2020 monsoon season and a dry 2020/2021 winter season. Meanwhile, the Southwest and much of the Rockies are most likely to see December end up warmer than usual. As we mentioned above, one of the best things to do in Arizona in the winter is camping and/or hiking, but of course, there are more! By contrast, much of the southern third of the nation from the Southwest into the Southern Plains, Southeast and Florida is expected to have a warmer-than-average January. The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. RELATED: La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, The Official NOAA Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 has been released and as of right now the odds are slightly tilted towards below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures for the desert southwest. Gone are the ridiculously hot days, replaced with pleasant, mild ones perfect for hitting the trails in places you generally shouldnt hike in the summer (Phoenix comes to mind). Weekly sea-surface temperature anomalies in degrees Celsius from early Sept. through early Oct. 2022. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 95 on the 26th to a low of 33 on the 8th. CLIMAS_report_2022_final.pdf Southwest Climate Outlook October 2022 Winter in Arizona is always a mixed bag. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area as is usually the case during the summer thunderstorm season. I hope you had a great Christmas and a Happy New Year so far. Published: Aug. 10, 2022 at 5:21 PM PDT (Gray News) - The Farmers' Almanac is predicting a frigid winter for most of us here in the U.S., along with brisk temperatures. Winter temperatures are once again expected to be split between a warmer than average South and colder than average North, with colder risks in parts of the East. A high minimum temperature of 59 on the 4th broke the old warm low for the date of 56 from 1946. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.19" which ranks as the 29th driest March on record, tied with 1949 & 1966. No matter which part of Arizona youre from (or plan to visit), winter is a great time to arrive. Questions? Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 0.10" to 0.75 ". According to the CPC, there is a tendency for back-to-back La Nia winters which increases forecaster confidence in the probability that this coming winter will indeed be another La Nia winter. According to its forecast map, Arizona's fall theme will be cool with "decent precipitation." Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers' Almanac, said there wasn't much particularly interesting. "Seasonal outlooks help communities prepare for what is likely to come in the months ahead and minimize weather's impacts on lives and livelihoods," NOAA said. (100 percent delivery time) The previous highest amount for October was 7 days in 1983, 2000 & 2015. Odds are tilted toward a colder than average winter from the Northern Plains and Great Lakes to northern New England. The 2022-2023 U.S. Winter Outlook map for precipitation shows wetter-than-average conditions are most likely in western Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. Today, Katie writes for the Texas and Arizona pages of OnlyInYourState.com and has never been more passionate about a job before. December climate data across southeast Arizona, Winter climate data across southeast Arizona. For a more accurate weather forecast please select a city, Click on a day for an hourly weather forecast, Royal Palms Resort and Spa, part of Hyatt. In central Arizona, its mild and fair, and sometimes rainy. And for only the 9th time since 1895, rainfall was recorded on both New Year's Eve & Day with the most recent being in 2018-19 & 2016-17. This is the third February in the last four years that the average monthly temperature was below normal. Here are some of the monthly rainfall highlights during 2022: Rainfall totals across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 6"-13" across the metro area with significantly higher totals in the surrounding mountains. Not all risky days will have rain/snow. . The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. Perhaps the snow will even reach the desert lowlands! After a week of travel, a bout with a head cold, and a new A-fib diagnosis, hiked some beautiful country with the Britts. There were six days of triple digit high temperatures which is slightly above normal. The most frigid weather will likely arrive in late January, and it could be rather brutal. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area with totals ranging from 0.20" to 1.75" with localized higher amounts to 2.50". The weather in Arizona in January is good. Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers Almanac,said there wasnt much particularly interesting or new forecasted for the area this fall, with generally fair weather from September through October. The forecast panned out well with Spring 2022 coming in warmer and drier than normal. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 48% chance that they will end up above normal and a 19% chance that they will end up below normal. On average, there are 1 rainy days in Arizona during January. We are already at 10 for Los Angeles, which shows we are on track here in the Desert Southwest with that number not even close to being a traditional La Nina. She attended college in the Houston area and changed her major twice (psychology, computer science, and finally criminal justice) before taking a leap of faith and dropping out to pursue a career in freelance writing. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 43% chance that they will end up above normal and a 24% chance that they will end up below normal. An very odd quirk happened this November when you compare the daily highs this year versus last year. Nov. 17, 2022 Finally. The seasonal average temperature of 55.3 goes into the record books as the 13th warmest on record, tied with Winter 1942-1943 & last winter. On top of that, conditions change so rapidly from week to week that making predictions is as good as visiting a fortune teller. A Strong 2024 La Nina and a new "Cold Pacific Ocean Phase" will usher in Dangerous . Support local journalism. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 77 on the 7th to a low of 31 on the 2nd. A record cool high temperature was set on the 24th with a high of 67 breaking the record of 68 from 1936 & 1978. The temperatures in Arizona in January are quite cold with temperatures between 9C and 19C, warm clothes are a must. For more detailed information, click the link below. You also get the member section, which has controllable models like rain, wind, snow, in high resolution along with a GPS feature which is updated when an event is in the area The average wind speed was 8.1 mph which is slightly below the average was 8.2 mph. You can enjoy epic winter activities like Arizona Snow Bowl, and you can even go sledding iFarmers' Almanac winter forecastn Arizona (or snow tubing in Arizona) too. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. No matter how you like your winter, youre sure to find it in Arizona. Phoenix Weather Forecast for November 2022 is based on . Managing Editor Sandi Duncan says for our region, in the North Central . National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Ninety-nine percent of the state is experiencing some level of drought with more than half of the state experiencing an Exceptional drought, which is the worst level. Questions? Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 0.75" to 2.50". The first five months were rather dry with the airport only recording 0.67" or 2" below normal. The silver lining is that when warmer weather finally does arrive, we'll be even more grateful for it. Climate Predictions 6-10 Days 8-14 Day Climate Probability Official 30-Day Forecast The above maps are from the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center. Temperatures: Below Average, Arizona The average monthly low temperature of 72.4 established a new monthly record, eclipsing the old record of 72.3 from 2018. Elizabeth Hoy, a senior scientist at NASA,. Last winter, Boston finished the season with. 27, 2022 The posted Quail Forever forecast of a bird hatch in NM and AZ is pretty bleak with drought conditions continuing throughout the Southwest. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec December Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun 1 +68 +59 2 +68 +55 3 +61 +59 4 +64 +61 5 +66 +55 6 +66 +52 7 +64 Tell us your thoughts in the comments section below, then check out how beautiful the Grand Canyon in winter is. The first day of winter and the shortest day of the year, officially arrives on December 21, 2022, but that doesn't always mean that the cold temperatures and snow storms will wait until then. MAIN WEBSITE: Dont forget. The last time back-to-back Octobers' were BELOW normal was back in the 1980's when there was a string of SEVEN straight BELOW normal Octobers' from 1980 to 1986. Which City Is the Worst for Fall Allergies This Year? The water year is below normal since October 1st at 6.16" which ranks as the 17th driest water year to date with one month left in the water year calendar. The forecast for precipitation is a 24% chance that they will be above normal and a 43% chance that they will end up below normal. "We continue the remarkable drive toward a third consecutive La Nia winter, a relatively rare occurrence in our recorded history, with the last three-peat occurring from 1998-2000," said Dr. Todd Crawford, Vice President of Meteorology at Atmospheric G2. Learn everything you need to know about the Grand Canyon State's ever-changing forecasts here. The average yearly temperature, through the end of June, of 68.5 is 1.3 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. The yearly rainfall total of 6.14" at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, ranks as the 15th driest January through October period on record. It ended being the coolest Fall since 2006. In northern Arizona, its snowy and chilly, though usually still quite dry. This is the 7th June on record in which the monthly low temperature did not fall below 65. Whether the polar vortex stays strong or weakens at some point in winter can definitely impact the forecast. Expect snowy days, but not as many as we usually see (which isn't great for this whole drought situation we're in). While the Southwest will likely escape the brunt of the onslaught of winter, we certainly arent in the clear either. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 44% chance that they will end up above normal and a 23% chance that they will end up below normal. On your phone:Download the 12News app for the latest local breaking news straight to your phone. Rainfall amounts were mostly between 0.25" and 0.75". The average yearly temperature is below normal for the calendar year through the end of March for the first time since 2017 and the fourth time this century (2001 & 2013). Amounts ranged from 1.00" to 4.50" with localized amounts up to 6.50". Arizona weather in January 2024 The temperatures in Arizona in January are quite cold with temperatures between 48F and 66F, warm clothes are a must. There should be enough snow on the ground still if you're looking to hit the slopes, but any further lashing will (hopefully) hold off for a little while longer. How Winter Fashion Has Changed in 100 Years (PHOTOS), Eerie Vintage Photos of People Battling the Flu, Democratic Republic of the Congo | Franais, State of Vatican City (Holy See) | Italiano. Weather Forecast Office. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Flagstaff, AZ Winter Weather Forecast | AccuWeather Today WinterCast Hourly Daily Radar MinuteCast Monthly Air Quality Health & Activities Winter Storm Warning Snow and Ice Outlook 12 - 18. While this isn't always the case every time La Nia is present, it is representative of the average impacts. Click on the images below for larger view. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 2.82" which is just over eight-tenths of an inch above normal and ranks as the 34th wettest August on record. My model is showing drier than normal conditions for most of California, majorly drier than normal for Southern California than Northern. The high temperature of 82 on the 20th marked the first August since 2007 that recorded back-to-back days with highs in the 80's. The seasonal average dew point value was 19. One record temperature was set during the month. This cold front brought a cooler air mass with morning lows on the 25th being in the upper 30's to mid 40's. The Farmers' Almanac is out with their Extended Winter Outlook for 2021-2022 and is calling for a "Frosty Flip-Flop Winter". Love Arizona? Thank you! Meanwhile, the southern U.S. is expected to have a warmer than usual winter. Rainfall totals across the metro area ranged from 4" to 10" with localized higher amounts up to 15". The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded a trace of rain which is well below normal and ranks as the 16th driest November on record. Officially, 7.41" of rain was recorded at the International airport which ranks, in the 128 year climatic record period (1895-2022) for Tucson, as the 13th driest year on record. That contrasts sharply with a likely warmer-than-usual February along the northern Gulf Coast, including Florida. The number could've been higher as there were eight days that recorded a high of 99. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. During the first 16 days of the month, no below normal highs were recorded. The Climate Assessment for the Southwest (CLIMAS), a well-established and innovative inter- and transdisciplinary climate research team, is looking for a Program Manager to join our team. WeatherTAB helps you plan activities on days with the least risk of rain. With record to near-record heat blistering Colorado on Monday, you might think the smoke in the air is from a Colorado wildfire. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 35% chance that they will end up above normal and a 32% chance that they will end up below normal. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.28" which is over a half an inch below normal and ranks as the 38th driest January on record, tied with 1929. This is the first time since March 1973 that every daily high temperature of a month was cooler than what occurred one year earlier. The monthly average temperature of 84.7 is just under 2 above normal and ranks as the 4th warmest September on record, tied with 2010. This ranks as the 5th warmest monsoon on record, tied with 2011. Los Angeles had near 9.50 of rainfall during the month alone with a normal amount of 2.48, which is unprecedented and will be the third highest amount during the month of December since records began, only behind 1989 and 2010. Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. National Weather Service NWS Tucson Arizona 520 North Park Ave, Suite 304 Tucson, AZ 85719 (520) 670-6526 Comments? The zero rainfall recorded at the International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, marked the 30th time since 1895 that no measurable rain was recorded at the official site. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 57% chance that they will end up above normal and a 10% chance that they will end up below normal. Additionally this is the fifteenth April in the past seventeen that the airport recorded below normal rainfall. PHOENIX (3TV/CBS 5) Look for one last, mostly sunny day before an unsettled weather pattern arrives for the next few days in Arizona.Light winds and high clouds can be expected this morning . 3. "The eruption of Tonga back in January will likely not cool the climate, given it was an underwater volcano that ejected water vapor, rather than particulates, into the stratosphere; on the contrary, given water vapor is a greenhouse gas, it may have a warming impact on the climate over the next few years," Crawford explained. Outside of work, you can likely find her curled up on the sofa with a hot cup of coffee, watching a crime TV show or scary movie. The widely followed youtube weather channel, is calling for a mixed bag of weather this upcoming winter season. Toggle navigation. March 2023; April 2023; May 2023; June 2023; July 2023; August 2023 . Prognostic Discussion for Long-Lead Seasonal Outlooks. However, January should at least be somewhat colder than usual from parts of Washington state and northern Idaho to the northern Plains, much of the Midwest and interior Northeast into northern New England. Snowfall will be below normal in most areas that normally receive snow, with the snowiest periods in early to mid-January and early February. Global Warming Begins at the Poles - Ends at the Poles 2022-2024. By Paul Rusnak | September 11, 2022. Two-thirds of climatological Fall is in the books and 2022 ranks as the 15th warmest & 56th driest on record with one month left to go. La Nia is expected to be the main driver for the third winter in a row. Dry conditions prevailed from the 11th to the 14th before an upper level low moved across the area bringing scattered showers, isolated thunderstorms and small hail on the 15th & 16th. The official start of fall is only about a month away, with the Autumn Equinox on Sept. 22. Best for planning. According to the CPC, there is a 66% chance that La Nia conditions could last from November 2021 to January 2022. Above-normal precipitation is forecast in part of the Ohio Valley, an area that could pick up above-normal snowfall if temperatures remain low enough. NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? This ranks as the 16th driest first half of the water year period on record. 830 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023. However, if it does rain/snow during the month, expect most of it to occur on higher risk days. Copyright 2021 Scripps Media, Inc. All rights reserved. NWS According to the Farmers' Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year - though drier than average, too. This ranks as the 11th driest Spring on record. Dry and warmer temperatures were on tap from the 17th to the 22nd. The last March to record above normal rainfall was in 2004 when 1.12" was recorded. The drought classification for the area degraded to D2 (Severe Drought) during May. Editor's note: The above video aired during a previous year's forecast. What is the average temperature in Arizona in January? If it says liked, dont hit it because thats unfollowing and you wont get updates at AZWF page on your feed. Check out the full 2022-23 Extended Winter Weather Forecast from The Farmer's Almanac below.